Liquidity risk is the risk of the inability to settle liabilities as they become due because of an absence of liquid assets. The lack of liquidity may be due to the inappropriate structure of assets and liabilities, including off-balance sheet, a mismatch of cash flows, customers’ failing to settle their liabilities, a sudden withdrawal of funds by the customers or other market events.
The Group also manages the financing risk which takes into account the risk of losing the existing sources of financing and the inability of renewing the required means of financing or loss of access to new sources of financing.
To ensure the necessary level of funds needed to settle current and future liabilities (also potential ones) as they become due, taking into account the nature of the activities conducted and the needs which may arise due to changes in the market environment, by appropriately shaping the structure of the assets, liabilities, including off-balance sheet liabilities.
The Group uses the following measures of the liquidity risk:
Control over the liquidity risk consists in determining liquidity risk limits and thresholds tailored to the scale and complexity of the Group’s operations, in particular the strategic limit of tolerance to liquidity risk.
The following measures are monitored by the Group on a regular basis:
The Group also makes regular liquidity forecasts which take into account the current developments in the Bank’s operations. Liquidity forecasts include primarily the levels of selected liquidity risk measures envisaged in the forecasts of the Group’s statement of financial position and in selected stress test scenarios.
Liquidity reports are prepared on a daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly basis and once a year, an in-depth long-term liquidity analysis is performed.
The main tools for liquidity risk management used by the Group are:
The Group’s policy concerning liquidity is based on keeping a portfolio of appropriate level of liquidity surplus through an increase in the portfolio of liquid securities, and stable sources of financing (a stable deposit base, in particular). In liquidity risk management, money market instruments, including NBP open market operations, are also used.
The liquidity gaps presented below represent the sum of adjusted liquidity gaps of the Bank (adjustments relate to, among other things, the Bank’s core deposits from non-financial entities and their maturities, core overdrafts of non-financial entities and their maturities, and liquid securities and their maturities), PKO Bank Hipoteczny, PKO Leasing SA, KREDOBANK SA and PKO Życie Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń SA, and the contractual liquidity gaps of the other Group companies.
on demand | 0-1 month |
1-3 month |
3-6 month |
6-12 month |
12-24 month |
24-60 month |
over 60 month |
|
31.12.2018 | ||||||||
The Group – adjusted periodic gap in real terms |
23 068 | 32 000 | (2 665) | 46 | 11 732 | 13 006 | 14 745 | (91 932) |
The Group – adjusted cumulative periodic gap in real terms |
23 068 | 55 068 | 52 403 | 52 449 | 64 181 | 77 187 | 91 932 | – |
31.12.2017 | ||||||||
The Group – adjusted periodic gap in real terms |
16 011 | 27 220 | (871) | (177) | 6 091 | 10 150 | 30 400 | (88 824) |
The Group – adjusted cumulative periodic gap in real terms |
16 011 | 43 231 | 42 360 | 42 183 | 48 274 | 58 424 | 88 824 | – |
In all time horizons, the adjusted cumulative liquidity gap of the Group, determined as the sum of the adjusted liquidity gaps of the Bank, PKO Bank Hipoteczny, PKO Leasing SA, KREDOBANK and PKO Życie Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń SA and the contractual liquidity gaps of the other Group companies, was positive both as at 31 December 2018 and 31 December 2017. This means that the Group has a surplus of the assets receivable over the liabilities payable.
Sensitivity measure | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 |
---|---|---|
Liquidity surplus of Bank in the horizon of up to 30 days (in PLN billion)1 | 21 | 14 |
Supervisory liquidity measures | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 |
---|---|---|
M3 – coverage ratio of non-liquid assets to own funds | 17.44 | 13.92 |
M4 – coverage ratio of non-liquid assets and liquidity-restricted assets with own funds and stable external funds | 1.22 | 1.19 |
NSFR – net stable funding ratio | 117.7% | 113.9% |
LCR – liquidity coverage ratio | 132.0% | 156.0% |
In the periods ended 31 December 2018 and 31 December 2017, liquidity measures remained above their respective supervisory limits. The LCR and NSFR ratios in the table refer to the Group, while the M3–M4 indicators refer to the Bank.
As at 31 December 2018, the core deposit base constituted approx. 93,9% of all deposits placed with the Bank (excluding the interbank market), which represents a decrease of approx. 0,3 p.p. Compared with the end of 2017.
31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
---|---|---|
Total deposits (excluding interbank market) | 75.76% | 76.80% |
Interbank market deposits | 0.63% | 0.70% |
Equity | 12.05% | 12.30% |
Market financing | 11.56% | 10.20% |
Total | 100.00% | 100.00% |
The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of the statement of financial position and off-balance sheet liabilities, excluding derivative financial instruments.
The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. The amounts disclosed comprise non-discounted future cash flows, both in respect of principal and interest (if applicable), in accordance with the contract, for the entire period to the date of the liability’s maturity. Where the party to whom the Group has a liability is able to select the settlement deadline, it has been assumed that the earliest date on which the Group is obliged to settle the liability will be taken into account. Where the Group is obliged to settle the liabilities in instalments, each instalment is allocated to the earliest period in which the Group might be obligated to settle. In the case of liabilities where instalment amounts are not fixed, the terms binding as at the reporting date have been adopted.
Contractual flows of the Group’s liabilities as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017 by maturity.
Group’s liabilities as at 31 december 2018, by maturity | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years inclusive |
Over 5 years | Contractual amount |
Carrying amount |
Liabilities: | |||||||
Amounts due to the Central Bank | 7 | – | – | – | – | 7 | 7 |
Amounts due to banks | 1 722 | 67 | 152 | 103 | – | 2 043 | 2 001 |
– measured at amortized cost | 1 722 | 67 | 152 | 103 | – | 2 043 | 2 001 |
Amounts due to customers | 182 651 | 21 468 | 27 168 | 11 568 | 8 041 | 250 895 | 242 816 |
– measured at amortized cost | 182 651 | 21 468 | 27 168 | 11 568 | 8 041 | 250 895 | 242 816 |
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities | 110 | 51 | 225 | 1 009 | 1 711 | 3 107 | 1 292 |
Debt securities in issue | 722 | 610 | 3 278 | 12 768 | 5 992 | 23 370 | 28 627 |
Subordinated liabilities | – | 62 | 62 | 542 | 3 362 | 4 028 | 2 731 |
Other financial liabilities | 3 102 | 17 | 163 | 195 | 208 | 3 685 | 3 685 |
Off-balance sheet liabilities: | |||||||
financing, granted | 12 976 | 3 908 | 13 408 | 13 326 | 9 058 | 52 676 | – |
guarantees, granted | 290 | 898 | 4 827 | 6 566 | 2 092 | 14 673 | – |
Group’s liabilities as at 31 December 2017, by maturity | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years inclusive |
Over 5 years | Contractual amount |
Carrying amount |
Liabilities: | |||||||
Amounts due to the Central Bank | 6 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 6 |
Amounts due to banks | 1 703 | 6 | 176 | 2 656 | – | 4 541 | 4 558 |
– measured at amortized cost | 1 703 | 6 | 176 | 2 656 | – | 4 541 | 4 558 |
Amounts due to customers | 158 505 | 16 759 | 30 107 | 8 308 | 7 808 | 221 487 | 220 917 |
– measured at amortized cost | 158 505 | 16 759 | 30 107 | 8 308 | 7 808 | 221 487 | 220 917 |
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities | 89 | 32 | 140 | 823 | 1 943 | 3 028 | 882 |
Debt securities in issue | 122 | 205 | 1 235 | 11 761 | – | 13 324 | 23 932 |
Subordinated liabilities | 9 | 32 | 68 | 289 | 2 080 | 2 478 | 1 720 |
Other financial liabilities | 4 336 | 15 | 347 | 179 | 185 | 5 062 | 5 062 |
Off-balance sheet liabilities: | |||||||
financing, granted | 8 672 | 2 696 | 13 365 | 15 004 | 7 798 | 47 535 | – |
guarantees, granted | 752 | 555 | 3 234 | 8 010 | 2 191 | 14 742 | – |
Derivative financial instruments settled by the Group on a net basis include:
The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of derivative financial instruments in respect of which the valuation as at the balance sheet date was negative (a liability).
The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. In the case of IRS transactions, non-discounted future net cash flows in respect of interest have been presented and in the case of the remaining derivative instruments settled on a net basis, the amount of the valuation as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017 respectively was adopted as the cash flow amount.
As at 31 December 2018 | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years, inclusive |
over 5 years | Contractual amount |
Derivative financial instruments – liabilities: | ||||||
– Interest rate swap (IRS) | (13) | 6 | 235 | (1 104) | (276) | (1 153) |
– other derivatives (options, FRA, NDF) | (455) | (1 393) | (2 876) | (2 062) | (0) | (6 788) |
As at 31 December 2017 | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years, inclusive |
over 5 years | Contractual amount |
Derivative financial instruments – liabilities: | ||||||
– Interest rate swap (IRS) | (22) | (0) | 94 | (676) | (100) | (705) |
– other derivatives (options, FRA, NDF) | (143) | (304) | (927) | (1 400) | (0) | (2 775) |
Derivative financial instruments settled by the Bank on a gross basis include:
The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis, presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of derivative financial instruments (inflows and outflows) in respect of which valuation the balance sheet date was negative (a liability). The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. The amounts disclosed comprise non-discounted future cash flows, both in respect of principal and interest (if applicable).
As at 31 December 2018 | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years, inclusive |
over 5 years | Contractual amount |
Derivative financial instruments: | ||||||
– outflows | (8 014) | (2 683) | (4 183) | (3 396) | (1 158) | (19 434) |
– inflows | 17 051 | 2 761 | 6 213 | 8 088 | 2 813 | 36 924 |
As at 31 December 2017 | Up to 1 month, inclusive |
1 to 3 months, inclusive |
3 months to 1 year, inclusive |
1 to 5 years, inclusive |
over 5 years | Contractual amount |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derivative financial instruments: | ||||||
– outflows | (7 347) | (2 196) | (4 812) | (2 946) | (238) | (17 539) |
– inflows | 7 238 | 2 072 | 5 008 | 6 745 | 250 | 21 313 |
The Group classifies an asset as short-term when:
All other assets are classified as long-term.
The Group classifies a liability as short-term when:
All other liabilities are classified as non-current.
Financial assets 31.12.2018 |
Current | Non-current | Allowances for expected credit losses/ Impairment allowances | Total carrying amount |
Cash and balances with the Central Bank | 22 925 | – | 22 925 | |
Amounts due from banks | 7 650 | 12 | (1) | 7 661 |
– measured at amortized cost | 7 650 | 12 | (1) | 7 661 |
Hedging derivatives | 43 | 615 | 658 | |
Other derivative instruments | 700 | 1 207 | 1 907 | |
Securities | 11 106 | 53 044 | (36) | 64 114 |
– held for trading | 235 | – | 235 | |
– not held for trading, mandatorily measured at fair value through profit or loss | 2 009 | 839 | 2 848 | |
– measured at fair value through OCI | 7 946 | 44 622 | (10) | 52 558 |
– measured at amortized cost | 916 | 7 583 | (26) | 8 473 |
Loans and advances to customers | 43 785 | 179 331 | (8 204) | 214 912 |
– not held for trading, mandatorily measured at fair value through profit or loss | 396 | 710 | 1 106 | |
– measured at amortized cost | 43 389 | 178 621 | (8 204) | 213 806 |
Other financial assets | 2 498 | 424 | (97) | 2 825 |
Total financial assets | 88 707 | 234 633 | (8 338) | 315 002 |
Financial liabilities 31.12.2018 |
Current | Non-current | Total carrying amount |
---|---|---|---|
Amounts due to the Central Bank | 7 | – | 7 |
Amounts due to banks | 1 901 | 100 | 2 001 |
– measured at amortized cost | 1 901 | 100 | 2 001 |
Hedging derivatives | 123 | 348 | 471 |
Other derivative instruments | 1 333 | 1 322 | 2 655 |
Amounts due to customers | 227 806 | 15 010 | 242 816 |
– measured at amortized cost | 227 806 | 15 010 | 242 816 |
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities | – | 1 292 | 1 292 |
Debt securities in issue | 6 472 | 22 155 | 28 627 |
– measured at amortized cost | 6 472 | 22 155 | 28 627 |
Subordinated liabilities | – | 2 731 | 2 731 |
Other financial liabilities | 2 352 | 12 | 2 364 |
Provisions for financial liabilities and guarantees granted | 177 | 50 | 227 |
Total financial liabilities | 240 171 | 43 020 | 283 191 |
Financial assets 31.12.2017 |
Current | Non-current | Impairment write-downs | Total carrying amount |
Cash and balances with the Central Bank | 17 810 | – | 17 810 | |
Amounts due from banks | 4 874 | 359 | – | 5 233 |
Hedging derivatives | 46 | 841 | 887 | |
Other derivative instruments | 695 | 1 016 | 1 711 | |
Securities | 12 587 | 41 814 | (326) | 54 075 |
– held for trading | 431 | – | 431 | |
– financial instruments designated at fair value through profit or loss upon initial recognition | 7 000 | 1 157 | 8 157 | |
– available-for-sale investment securities | 5 006 | 38 995 | (326) | 43 675 |
– investment securities held to maturity | 150 | 1 662 | – | 1 812 |
Loans and advances to customers | 46 848 | 166 603 | (7 823) | 205 628 |
Other financial assets | 2 322 | 155 | (100) | 2 377 |
Total financial assets | 85 182 | 210 788 | (8 249) | 287 721 |
Financial liabilities 31.12.2017 |
Current | Non-current | Total carrying amount |
Amounts due to the Central Bank | 6 | – | 6 |
Amounts due to banks | 2 744 | 1 814 | 4 558 |
Hedging derivatives | 2 | 202 | 204 |
Other derivative instruments | 1 462 | 1 074 | 2 536 |
Amounts due to customers | 203 823 | 17 094 | 220 917 |
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities | 268 | 614 | 882 |
Debt securities in issue | 4 067 | 19 865 | 23 932 |
– measured at amortized cost | 4 067 | 19 865 | 23 932 |
Subordinated liabilities | – | 1 720 | 1 720 |
Other financial liabilities | 4 119 | 10 | 4 129 |
Provisions for financial liabilities and guarantees granted | 61 | 25 | 86 |
Total financial liabilities | 216 552 | 42 418 | 258 970 |