68. Liquidity risk management

Annual report
2018

Liquidity risk management

Liquidity risk is the risk of the inability to settle liabilities as they become due because of an absence of liquid assets. The lack of liquidity may be due to the inappropriate structure of assets and liabilities, including off-balance sheet,  a mismatch of cash flows, customers’ failing to settle their liabilities, a sudden withdrawal of funds by the customers or other market events.

The Group also manages the financing risk which takes into account the risk of losing the existing sources of financing and the inability of renewing the required means of financing or loss of access to new sources of financing.

To ensure the necessary level of funds needed to settle current and future liabilities (also potential ones) as they become due, taking into account the nature of the activities conducted and the needs which may arise due to changes in the market environment, by appropriately shaping the structure of the assets, liabilities, including off-balance sheet liabilities.

The Group uses the following measures of the liquidity risk:

  • contractual and adjusted liquidity gap,
  • liquidity reserve,
  • liquidity surplus,
  • the ratio of stable funds to illiquid assets,
  • liquidity coverage ratio (LCR),
  • domestic supervisory liquidity measures (M3-M4),
  • measures of stability of the deposit and loan portfolios,
  • liquidity stress tests.

Control over the liquidity risk consists in determining liquidity risk limits and thresholds tailored to the scale and complexity of the Group’s operations, in particular the strategic limit of tolerance to liquidity risk.

The following measures are monitored by the Group on a regular basis:

  • utilization of the strategic limit of tolerance to liquidity risk;
  • utilization of regulatory liquidity standards;
  • utilization of internal limits and thresholds of liquidity risk;
  • concentration of the sources of financing;
  • early warning indicators – monitored for the early detection of unfavourable occurrences which may have a negative impact on the Group’s or the financial sector’s liquidity position (when exceeded, early warning indicators trigger liquidity contingency plans).

The Group also makes regular liquidity forecasts which take into account the current developments in the Bank’s operations. Liquidity forecasts include primarily the levels of selected liquidity risk measures envisaged in the forecasts of the Group’s statement of financial position and in selected stress test scenarios.

Liquidity reports are prepared on a daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly basis and once a year, an in-depth long-term liquidity analysis is performed.

The main tools for liquidity risk management used by the Group are:

  • procedures for liquidity risk management, in particular contingency plans,
  • limits and thresholds to mitigate short-term, medium-term and long-term liquidity risk,
  • national and European supervisory liquidity standards,
  • deposit, investment and securities transactions and well as derivatives, including structural currency transactions and transactions for the sale or purchase of securities,
  • transactions ensuring long-term financing of the lending activities.

The Group’s policy concerning liquidity is based on keeping a portfolio of appropriate level of liquidity surplus through an increase in the portfolio of liquid securities, and stable sources of financing (a stable deposit base, in particular). In liquidity risk management, money market instruments, including NBP open market operations, are also used.

Financial information

Liquidity gap

The liquidity gaps presented below represent the sum of adjusted liquidity gaps of the Bank (adjustments relate to, among other things, the Bank’s core deposits from non-financial entities and their maturities, core overdrafts of non-financial entities and their maturities, and liquid securities and their maturities), PKO Bank Hipoteczny, PKO Leasing SA, KREDOBANK SA and PKO Życie Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń SA, and the contractual liquidity gaps of the other Group companies.

on demand 0-1
month
1-3
month
3-6
month
6-12
month
12-24
month
24-60
month
over 60
month
31.12.2018
The Group
– adjusted periodic gap in real terms
23 068 32 000 (2 665) 46 11 732 13 006 14 745 (91 932)
The Group
– adjusted cumulative periodic gap in real terms
23 068 55 068 52 403 52 449 64 181 77 187 91 932
31.12.2017
The Group
– adjusted periodic gap in real terms
16 011 27 220 (871) (177) 6 091 10 150 30 400 (88 824)
The Group
– adjusted cumulative periodic gap in real terms
16 011 43 231 42 360 42 183 48 274 58 424 88 824

In all time horizons, the adjusted cumulative liquidity gap of the Group, determined as the sum of the adjusted liquidity gaps of the Bank, PKO Bank Hipoteczny, PKO Leasing SA, KREDOBANK and PKO Życie Towarzystwo Ubezpieczeń SA and the contractual liquidity gaps of the other Group companies, was positive both as at 31 December 2018 and 31 December 2017. This means that the Group has a surplus of the assets receivable over the liabilities payable.

Liquidity surplus

Sensitivity measure 31.12.2018 31.12.2017
Liquidity surplus of Bank in the horizon of up to 30 days (in PLN billion)1 21 14

 

1 Liquidity surplus of Bank – determines the Bank’s ability to meet the liquidity needs in a given survival horizon if the scenarios defined in stress tests materialize.

Supervisory liquidity measures

Supervisory liquidity measures 31.12.2018 31.12.2017
M3 – coverage ratio of non-liquid assets to own funds 17.44 13.92
M4 – coverage ratio of non-liquid assets and liquidity-restricted assets with own funds and stable external funds 1.22 1.19
NSFR – net stable funding ratio 117.7% 113.9%
LCR – liquidity coverage ratio 132.0% 156.0%

In the periods ended 31 December 2018 and 31 December 2017, liquidity measures remained above their respective supervisory limits. The LCR and NSFR ratios in the table refer to the Group, while the M3–M4 indicators refer to the Bank.

Core deposit base

As at 31 December 2018, the core deposit base constituted approx. 93,9% of all deposits placed with the Bank (excluding the interbank market), which represents a decrease of approx. 0,3 p.p. Compared with the end of 2017.

Structure of the sources of financing

31.12.2018 31.12.2017
Total deposits (excluding interbank market) 75.76% 76.80%
Interbank market deposits 0.63% 0.70%
Equity 12.05% 12.30%
Market financing 11.56% 10.20%
Total 100.00% 100.00%

Contractual cash flows from the Group’s liabilities, excluding derivative financial instruments

The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of the statement of financial position and off-balance sheet liabilities, excluding derivative financial instruments.

The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. The amounts disclosed comprise non-discounted future cash flows, both in respect of principal and interest (if applicable), in accordance with the contract, for the entire period to the date of the liability’s maturity. Where the party to whom the Group has a liability is able to select the settlement deadline, it has been assumed that the earliest date on which the Group is obliged to settle the liability will be taken into account. Where the Group is obliged to settle the liabilities in instalments, each instalment is allocated to the earliest period in which the Group might be obligated to settle. In the case of liabilities where instalment amounts are not fixed, the terms binding as at the reporting date have been adopted.

Contractual flows of the Group’s liabilities as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017 by maturity.

Group’s liabilities as at 31 december 2018, by maturity Up to
1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5 years
inclusive
Over 5 years Contractual
amount
Carrying
amount
Liabilities:
Amounts due to the Central Bank 7 7 7
Amounts due to banks 1 722 67 152 103 2 043 2 001
– measured at amortized cost 1 722 67 152 103 2 043 2 001
Amounts due to customers 182 651 21 468 27 168 11 568 8 041 250 895 242 816
– measured at amortized cost 182 651 21 468 27 168 11 568 8 041 250 895 242 816
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities 110 51 225 1 009 1 711 3 107 1 292
Debt securities in issue 722 610 3 278 12 768 5 992 23 370 28 627
Subordinated liabilities 62 62 542 3 362 4 028 2 731
Other financial liabilities 3 102 17 163 195 208 3 685 3 685
Off-balance sheet liabilities:
financing, granted 12 976 3 908 13 408 13 326 9 058 52 676
guarantees, granted 290 898 4 827 6 566 2 092 14 673

Group’s liabilities as at 31 December 2017, by maturity Up to
1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5 years
inclusive
Over 5 years Contractual
amount
Carrying
amount
Liabilities:
Amounts due to the Central Bank 6 6 6
Amounts due to banks 1 703 6 176 2 656 4 541 4 558
 – measured at amortized cost 1 703 6 176 2 656 4 541 4 558
Amounts due to customers 158 505 16 759 30 107 8 308 7 808 221 487 220 917
 – measured at amortized cost 158 505 16 759 30 107 8 308 7 808 221 487 220 917
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities 89 32 140 823 1 943 3 028 882
Debt securities in issue 122 205 1 235 11 761 13 324 23 932
Subordinated liabilities 9 32 68 289 2 080 2 478 1 720
Other financial liabilities 4 336 15 347 179 185 5 062 5 062
Off-balance sheet liabilities:
financing, granted 8 672 2 696 13 365 15 004 7 798 47 535
guarantees, granted 752 555 3 234 8 010 2 191 14 742

Contractual cash flows from liabilities in respect of derivative financial instruments

Derivative financial instruments settled on a net basis

Derivative financial instruments settled by the Group on a net basis include:

  • interest rate swaps (IRS),
  • Forward Rate Agreements (FRA),
  • Non Deliverable Forwards (NDF,
  • options.

The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of derivative financial instruments in respect of which the valuation as at the balance sheet date was negative (a liability).

The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. In the case of IRS transactions, non-discounted future net cash flows in respect of interest have been presented and in the case of the remaining derivative instruments settled on a net basis, the amount of the valuation as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017 respectively was adopted as the cash flow amount.

As at 31 December 2018 Up to 1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5
years,
inclusive
over 5 years Contractual
amount
Derivative financial instruments – liabilities:
 – Interest rate swap (IRS) (13) 6 235 (1 104) (276) (1 153)
 – other derivatives (options, FRA, NDF) (455) (1 393) (2 876) (2 062) (0) (6 788)

As at 31 December 2017 Up to 1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5
years,
inclusive
over 5 years Contractual
amount
Derivative financial instruments – liabilities:
 – Interest rate swap (IRS) (22) (0) 94 (676) (100) (705)
 – other derivatives (options, FRA, NDF) (143) (304) (927) (1 400) (0) (2 775)

Derivative financial instruments settled on a gross basis

Derivative financial instruments settled by the Bank on a gross basis include:

  • foreign currency swaps,
  • foreign currency forwards,
  • Cross Currency IRS (CIRS).

The tables below show the contractual maturity analysis, presenting the outstanding contractual maturity dates by individual categories of derivative financial instruments (inflows and outflows) in respect of which valuation the balance sheet date was negative (a liability). The amounts denominated in foreign currencies have been translated using the average NBP exchange rate as at 31 December 2018 and as at 31 December 2017. The amounts disclosed comprise non-discounted future cash flows, both in respect of principal and interest (if applicable).

As at 31 December 2018 Up to 1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5
years,
inclusive
over 5 years Contractual
amount
Derivative financial instruments:
 – outflows (8 014) (2 683) (4 183) (3 396) (1 158) (19 434)
 – inflows 17 051 2 761 6 213 8 088 2 813 36 924

As at 31 December 2017 Up to 1 month,
inclusive
1 to 3
months,
inclusive
3 months
to 1 year,
inclusive
1 to 5
years,
inclusive
over 5 years Contractual
amount
Derivative financial instruments:
 – outflows (7 347) (2 196) (4 812) (2 946) (238) (17 539)
– inflows 7 238 2 072 5 008 6 745 250 21 313

 

Short-term and long-term assets and liabilities

The Group classifies an asset as short-term when:

  • it expects to realize the asset or intends to sell or consume it in the course of the normal operating cycle;
  • it holds the asset primarily for the purpose of trading;
  • it expects that the asset will be realized within twelve months after the reporting period, or
  • the asset is cash or a cash equivalent, unless it is restricted from being exchanged or used to settle a liability for at least twelve months from the end of reporting period.

All other assets are classified as long-term.

The Group classifies a liability as short-term when:

  • it expect that the liability will be settled in the normal operating cycle;
  • it holds the liability primarily for the purpose of trading;
  • the liability matures within twelve months of the end of the reporting period, or
  • the entity does not have an unconditional right to defer settlement of the liability for at least twelve months after the reporting period.

All other liabilities are classified as non-current.

Financial assets
31.12.2018
Current Non-current Allowances for expected credit losses/ Impairment allowances Total carrying amount
Cash and balances with the Central Bank 22 925 22 925
Amounts due from banks 7 650 12 (1) 7 661
– measured at amortized cost 7 650 12 (1) 7 661
Hedging derivatives 43 615 658
Other derivative instruments 700 1 207 1 907
Securities 11 106 53 044 (36) 64 114
– held for trading 235 235
– not held for trading, mandatorily measured at fair value through profit or loss 2 009 839 2 848
– measured at fair value through OCI 7 946 44 622 (10) 52 558
– measured at amortized cost 916 7 583 (26) 8 473
Loans and advances to customers 43 785 179 331 (8 204) 214 912
– not held for trading, mandatorily measured at fair value through profit or loss 396 710 1 106
– measured at amortized cost 43 389 178 621 (8 204) 213 806
Other financial assets 2 498 424 (97) 2 825
Total financial assets 88 707 234 633 (8 338) 315 002

Financial liabilities
31.12.2018
Current Non-current Total carrying amount
Amounts due to the Central Bank 7 7
Amounts due to banks 1 901 100 2 001
– measured at amortized cost 1 901 100 2 001
Hedging derivatives 123 348 471
Other derivative instruments 1 333 1 322 2 655
Amounts due to customers 227 806 15 010 242 816
– measured at amortized cost 227 806 15 010 242 816
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities 1 292 1 292
Debt securities in issue 6 472 22 155 28 627
– measured at amortized cost 6 472 22 155 28 627
Subordinated liabilities 2 731 2 731
Other financial liabilities 2 352 12 2 364
Provisions for financial liabilities and guarantees granted 177 50 227
Total financial liabilities 240 171 43 020 283 191

Financial assets
31.12.2017
Current Non-current Impairment write-downs Total carrying amount
Cash and balances with the Central Bank 17 810 17 810
Amounts due from banks 4 874 359 5 233
Hedging derivatives 46 841 887
Other derivative instruments 695 1 016 1 711
Securities 12 587 41 814 (326) 54 075
– held for trading 431 431
– financial instruments designated at fair value through profit or loss upon initial recognition 7 000 1 157 8 157
– available-for-sale investment securities 5 006 38 995 (326) 43 675
– investment securities held to maturity 150 1 662 1 812
Loans and advances to customers 46 848 166 603 (7 823) 205 628
Other financial assets 2 322 155 (100) 2 377
Total financial assets 85 182 210 788 (8 249) 287 721

Financial liabilities
31.12.2017
Current Non-current Total carrying amount
Amounts due to the Central Bank 6 6
Amounts due to banks 2 744 1 814 4 558
Hedging derivatives 2 202 204
Other derivative instruments 1 462 1 074 2 536
Amounts due to customers 203 823 17 094 220 917
Liabilities in respect of insurance activities 268 614 882
Debt securities in issue 4 067 19 865 23 932
– measured at amortized cost 4 067 19 865 23 932
Subordinated liabilities 1 720 1 720
Other financial liabilities 4 119 10 4 129
Provisions for financial liabilities and guarantees granted 61 25 86
Total financial liabilities 216 552 42 418 258 970

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